Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Norwich City		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.65	Watch
	5	4	1.67
	5	3.9	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.73
	4.69	3.81	1.79
	5.5	3.9	1.55	Watch
	5	4.1	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (6.95)	3.93 ↓ (4.7)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
19.3%

Draw
24.3%

Liverpool
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

21.2%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

18.3%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.2%	7.9%	82.9%

Norwich City - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (63 of 76 users predict this - 82.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.42% – 91.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Norwich is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Liverpool is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Norwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Norwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English Premier League
18.09.21	Norwich City - Watford	1:3 ✺
11.09.21	Arsenal - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.08.21	Norwich City - Bournemouth	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
21.08.21	Manchester City - Norwich City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
18.09.21	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Liverpool - Milan	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.21	Leeds United - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
28.08.21	Liverpool - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Liverpool - Burnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
14.08.21	Norwich City - Liverpool	0:3
15.02.20	Norwich City - Liverpool	0:1
09.08.19	Liverpool - Norwich City	4:1
23.01.16	Norwich City - Liverpool	4:5
20.09.15	Liverpool - Norwich City	1:1
20.04.14	Norwich City - Liverpool	2:3
04.12.13	Liverpool - Norwich City	5:1

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