The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 11.6%
Draw 18%
Liverpool 70.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.4%
18.2%
70.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.1%
16.1%
79.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
The chances for Liverpool have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.5%
3.2%
87.3%
Watford - Liverpool Predictions
Users Predictions:
Liverpool will win
(138 of 158 users predict this - 87.34%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.15% โ 92.53%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Watford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Liverpool is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Liverpool is absolute favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Watford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
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