Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sport 1+
Portugal	Sport TV


	Atlético Mineiro		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4	6.25
	1.52	4	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.12	7.26
	1.51	4.12	7.26
	1.44	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.15	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)	4.04 ↓ (4.18)	6.65 ↓ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
62.5%

Draw
23.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 21. Battaglia R. 34. Jemerson 13. Guilherme Arana 6. Gustavo Scarpa 5. Otavio 23. Franco A. 15. Zaracho M. 10. Paulinho 7. Hulk (C)	12. De Amores G. (G) 20. Milans P. 23. Mendez J. 4. Rodriguez G. 27. Lucas Hernandez 15. Olivera M. 13. Darias E. 14. Garcia D. 8. Fernandez L. 26. Sequeira L. 11. Silvera M.
Substitutes
14. Alan Kardec 45. Alisson 3. Bruno Fuchs 42. Cadu 11. Eduardo Vargas 17. Igor Gomes 16. Igor Rabello 4. Lemos M. 25. Mariano 31. Matheus Mendes (G) 30. Palacios Alzate B. 38. Pedrinho	33. Acosta N. 6. Castillo Segura B. D. 3. Gianoli M. 30. Gonzalez A. 2. Leo Coelho 22. Matheus Babi 21. Morgan Michelena K. M. (G) 28. Neris P. 10. Ramirez G. 1. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Sosa D. 25. Sosa I.
Coaches
Milito G.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gustavo Scarpa ⚽, Paulinho (A),
26', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽,
40', Renzo Saravia 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Sequeira L. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
56', Lucas Hernandez ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
56', Milans P. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Gustavo Scarpa ⚽, Hulk (A),
60', 3 - 1, Olivera M. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
62', Renzo Saravia ↓, Mariano ↑,
63', Zaracho M. ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Silvera M. ⚽,
71', Otavio 🟨,
80', Jemerson 🟨,
81', Franco A. 🟨,
82', Olivera M. 🟨,
83', Garcia D. ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
87', Darias E. ↓, Leo Coelho ↑,
88', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
90', Aguirre D. 🟨,
90+4', Paulinho ↓, Cadu ↑,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Atlético MG is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético MG to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
17.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.04.24	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWW
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.24	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
17.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Caracas	5:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.04.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

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