Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Augsburg		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.18	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.53	3.35
	2.2	3.51	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.18	3.49	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.31)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	3.26 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
43%

Draw
27.7%

Köln
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.6%	27.1%	15.3%

Augsburg - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 33 - 56.9%). Köln will win (votes: 9 - 15.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 44.2% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Köln (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Köln (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 32. Rieder F. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 36. Komur M. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 21. Ribeiro R.	1. Schwabe M. (C) 22. Simpson-Pusey J. 33. van den Berg R. 39. Ozkacar C. 16. Kaminski J. 6. Martel E. 5. Krauss T. 32. Lund K. 7. Waldschmidt L. 9. Ache R. 30. Bulter M.
Substitutes
34. Arthur Chaves 11. Gharbi I. 38. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 14. Keitel Y. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 27. Wolf M.	27. Chavez F. 13. El Mala S. 3. Heintz D. 18. Johannesson I. 11. Kainz F. 36. Neumann C. 38. Niang Y. 40. Schenten F. 20. Zieler R. (G)
Coaches
Baum M.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Massengo H. 🟨,
31', Martel E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martel E. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
47', Banks N. 🟨,
50', Jakic K. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Banks N. (A),
66', Zesiger C. 🟨,
66', Waldschmidt L. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
66', Bulter M. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
68', Ribeiro R. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
78', Simpson-Pusey J. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
82', Komur M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
82', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
82', Fellhauer R. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
84', Krauss T. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
90+2', Keitel Y. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Claude-Maurice A. ⚽, Gregoritsch M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 0.

Augsburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Köln is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Augsburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ribs Injury) Schmied J. (Muscle Injury) Sebulonsen S. (Muscle Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: El Mala S. (Inactive) Heintz D. (Injury) Huseinbasic D. (Hip Injury) Schenten F. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mainz - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Augsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.5 WWLWW
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Köln - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1
31.03.24	Augsburg - Köln	1:1
04.11.23	Köln - Augsburg	1:1
08.04.23	Augsburg - Köln	1:3
16.10.22	Köln - Augsburg	3:2
30.04.22	Augsburg - Köln	1:4
10.12.21	Köln - Augsburg	0:2

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