Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes World Football
Angola	20:30	Z Sports 2
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	16:30	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:30	ESPN Premium
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
India	01:00	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	02:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	00:30	Tapmad
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Orange TV Go
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	22:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+
Vietnam	02:30	TV 360
International	19:30	Onefootball


	Augsburg		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.18	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.53	3.35
	2.2	3.51	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.18	3.49	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.31)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	3.26 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
43%

Draw
27.7%

Köln
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.6%	27.1%	15.3%

Augsburg - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 33 - 56.9%). Köln will win (votes: 9 - 15.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 44.2% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Köln (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Augsburg (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Köln (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 32. Rieder F. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 36. Komur M. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 21. Ribeiro R.	1. Schwabe M. (C) 22. Simpson-Pusey J. 33. van den Berg R. 39. Ozkacar C. 16. Kaminski J. 6. Martel E. 5. Krauss T. 32. Lund K. 7. Waldschmidt L. 9. Ache R. 30. Bulter M.
Substitutes
34. Arthur Chaves 11. Gharbi I. 38. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 14. Keitel Y. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 27. Wolf M.	27. Chavez F. 13. El Mala S. 3. Heintz D. 18. Johannesson I. 11. Kainz F. 36. Neumann C. 38. Niang Y. 40. Schenten F. 20. Zieler R. (G)
Coaches
Baum M.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Massengo H. 🟨,
31', Martel E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Martel E. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
47', Banks N. 🟨,
50', Jakic K. ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Banks N. (A),
66', Zesiger C. 🟨,
66', Waldschmidt L. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
66', Bulter M. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
68', Ribeiro R. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
78', Simpson-Pusey J. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
82', Komur M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
82', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
82', Fellhauer R. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
84', Krauss T. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
90+2', Keitel Y. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Claude-Maurice A. ⚽, Gregoritsch M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 0.

Augsburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Köln is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Augsburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ribs Injury) Schmied J. (Muscle Injury) Sebulonsen S. (Muscle Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: El Mala S. (Inactive) Heintz D. (Injury) Huseinbasic D. (Hip Injury) Schenten F. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9
12	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mainz - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Augsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 47.5 WWLWW
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Köln - RB Leipzig	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1
31.03.24	Augsburg - Köln	1:1
04.11.23	Köln - Augsburg	1:1
08.04.23	Augsburg - Köln	1:3
16.10.22	Köln - Augsburg	3:2
30.04.22	Augsburg - Köln	1:4
10.12.21	Köln - Augsburg	0:2

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