Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 2
Angola	20:30	Z Sports 1
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 3, FOX Sports
Armenia	23:30	Setanta Sports 1
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	23:30	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	20:30	Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:30	Disney+
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
India	01:00	Vision+
Indonesia	02:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	21:30	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	20:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	00:30	Tapmad
Peru	14:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	22:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Africa	21:30	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:30	TV 360
International	19:30	Onefootball


	Köln		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.7	3
	2.02	3.7	3.45	Watch
	2.04	3.8	3.68
	2.05	3.72	3.45	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	2.07	3.8	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)	3.69 ↑ (3.68)	3.45 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
46.5%

Draw
25.8%

Wolfsburg
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	16.4%	10.9%

Köln - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 39 - 72.2%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 60.3% – 84.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wolfsburg (2.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Köln (1.33) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 17. Castro-Montes A. 28. Sebulonsen S. 39. Ozkacar C. 32. Lund K. 16. Kaminski J. 6. Martel E. 5. Krauss T. 37. Maina L. 9. Ache R. 30. Bulter M.	1. Grabara K. (G) 2. Fischer K. 3. Vavro D. 15. Jenz M. 31. Gerhardt Y. 5. Vini Souza 27. Arnold M. (C) 24. Eriksen C. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
13. El Mala S. 8. Huseinbasic D. 18. Johannesson I. 38. Niang Y. 40. Schenten F. 29. Thielmann J. 33. van den Berg R. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)	11. Daghim A. 37. Hensel P. 4. Koulierakis K. 26. Kumbedi S. 19. Lindstrom J. 29. Muller M. (G) 7. Shiogai K. 32. Svanberg M. 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Bauer D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Maina L. ⚽, Krauss T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vini Souza ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
46', Majer L. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
58', Ache R. 🟨,
66', Eriksen C. 🟨,
66', Bulter M. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
71', Shiogai K. 🟨,
74', Fischer K. ↓, Kumbedi S. ↑,
74', Wimmer P. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
75', Kaminski J. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
75', Maina L. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,
80', Jenz M. 🟨,
86', Lund K. ↓, van den Berg R. ↑,
86', Ache R. ↓, Niang Y. ↑,
90', Gerhardt Y. 🟨,
90+1', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Zehnter A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.

Köln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolfsburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Köln could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Köln - Mainz	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Lugano - Köln	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTW
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Mainz - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Wolfsburg - Köln	3:3
27.01.24	Wolfsburg - Köln	1:1
26.08.23	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:2
25.02.23	Köln - Wolfsburg	0:2
03.09.22	Wolfsburg - Köln	2:4
07.05.22	Köln - Wolfsburg	0:1
14.12.21	Wolfsburg - Köln	2:3

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