Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	17:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect
Austria	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	13:30	Canal GOAT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	18:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	11:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	13:30	Disney+
China	00:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	11:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	17:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	17:30	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
India	22:00	Vision+
Indonesia	23:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	00:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	17:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	21:30	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	02:30	TVWan Sports
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	17:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	16:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	18:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	19:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	17:30	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	17:30	Voyo
Slovenia	17:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	17:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	17:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	19:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	18:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	16:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	11:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
Vietnam	23:30	TV 360
International	16:30	Onefootball


	Freiburg		Köln

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	3.5	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.8
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.06	3.7	3.82
	2	3.66	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	2.05	3.79	3.58	Watch
	2	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)	3.63 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
47.6%

Draw
26.3%

Köln
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	6.9%	10.3%

Freiburg - Köln Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Freiburg (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Köln (1.84) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Freiburg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Köln (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 29. Treu P. 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 7. Scherhant D. 31. Matanovic I.	1. Schwabe M. (C) 17. Castro-Montes A. 28. Sebulonsen S. 33. van den Berg R. 32. Lund K. 29. Thielmann J. 5. Krauss T. 16. Kaminski J. 37. Maina L. 9. Ache R. 30. Bulter M.
Substitutes
20. Adamu J. 32. Grifo V. 30. Gunter C. 27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 22. Irie C. 44. Manzambi J. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B.	13. El Mala S. 8. Huseinbasic D. 18. Johannesson I. 6. Martel E. 38. Niang Y. 39. Ozkacar C. 40. Schenten F. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Rosenfelder M. (Own goal),
11', 1 - 1, Scherhant D. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
44', 2 - 1, Matanovic I. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kubler L. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
62', Krauss T. 🟨,
62', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
63', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
66', Matanovic I. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Thielmann J. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
69', Castro-Montes A. 🟨,
74', Scherhant D. 🟨,
76', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
76', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
77', Krauss T. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
77', Lund K. ↓, Martel E. ↑,
87', Maina L. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
87', van den Berg R. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 3.

Freiburg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Köln has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Freiburg	7	4	1	2	16:9	7	13
12	FC Koln	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Freiburg: 0.85%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Köln - Mainz	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Lugano - Köln	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.08.25	Köln - Freiburg	4:1
04.05.24	Köln - Freiburg	0:0
17.12.23	Freiburg - Köln	2:0
29.04.23	Köln - Freiburg	0:1
06.11.22	Freiburg - Köln	2:0
05.02.22	Köln - Freiburg	1:0
11.09.21	Freiburg - Köln	1:1

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