Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

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	Augsburg		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.8	4
	1.9	3.71	3.99	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.8
	1.94	3.84	3.89	Watch
	1.83	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)	3.72 ↓ (3.79)	3.91 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
50.1%

Draw
25.6%

Heidenheim
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	12.8%	15.4%

Augsburg - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 28 - 71.8%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 57.7% – 85.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Augsburg will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 31. Schlotterbeck K. 16. Zesiger C. 30. Kade A. 17. Jakic K. 4. Massengo H. 19. Fellhauer R. 36. Komur M. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 38. Gregoritsch M.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. 5. Gimber B. 10. Conteh C. 16. Niehues J. 3. Schoppner J. 26. Behrens H. 8. Dinkci E. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Schimmer S.
Substitutes
34. Arthur Chaves 11. Gharbi I. 13. Giannoulis D. 14. Keitel Y. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 8. Rexhbecaj E. 21. Ribeiro R. 32. Rieder F. 27. Wolf M.	21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 17. Honsak M. 20. Kerber L. 18. Pieringer M. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Coaches
Baum M.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Kade A. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
59', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
64', Conteh C. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
64', Schimmer S. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
73', Jakic K. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
73', Fellhauer R. ↓, Giannoulis D. ↑,
79', Gimber B. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Claude-Maurice A. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Niehues J. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
87', Schoppner J. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
87', Behrens H. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
90+1', Komur M. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
90+4', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
90+4', Dahmen F. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.

In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heidenheim is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Augsburg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Dorsch N. (Illness) Honsak M. (Thigh Injury) Stergiou L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Heidenheim - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 23.16%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Mainz - Augsburg	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Augsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.5 LWWTT
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
07.02.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Mainz - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1
25.01.25	Augsburg - Heidenheim	2:1
01.09.24	Heidenheim - Augsburg	4:0
09.03.24	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0
22.10.23	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:5
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Augsburg - Heidenheim	2:0
26.03.21	Augsburg - Heidenheim	3:1

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