Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Augsburg		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4.1	Watch
	2.08	3.05	4.15	Watch
	2.21	3.1	4.02
	2.06	3.11	4.16	Watch
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.13	3.25	4.21	Watch
	2.14	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.98)	3.09 ↓ (3.39)	4.03 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg
45.3%

Draw
31%

St. Pauli
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Augsburg - St. Pauli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - St. Pauli (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Augsburg (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Augsburg will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Augsburg will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 11 - 91.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahmen F. (G) 34. Arthur Chaves 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 40. Banks N. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 8. Rexhbecaj E. 27. Wolf M. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 38. Gregoritsch M.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 15. Ando T. 8. Smith E. (C) 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 6. Sands J. 20. Rasmussen M. 11. Pyrka A. 10. Sinani D. 26. Jones R.J. 16. Fujita J.
Substitutes
9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 30. Kade A. 14. Keitel Y. 36. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 3. Pedersen M. 21. Ribeiro R. 16. Zesiger C.	9. Ceesay A. 7. Irvine J. 19. Kaars M. 23. Oppie L. 28. Pereira Lage M. 21. Ritzka L. 34. Robatsch J. 14. Stevens F. 1. Voll B. A. (G)
Coaches
Baum M.	Blessin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Wolf M. 🟨,
31', Baum M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Sinani D. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
44', Fellhauer R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arthur Chaves ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
60', Rieder F. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
63', Sinani D. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
63', Jones R.J. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
69', Banks N. 🟨,
71', Fujita J. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,
77', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
77', Wolf M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
84', Saliakas M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
84', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
90+1', Sands J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Recent performances by Augsburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Pauli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Calf Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayern Munich - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
15.01.26	Augsburg - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.6 WTTLT
- FC St. Pauli
German Bundesliga
27.01.26	St. Pauli - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	St. Pauli - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.09.25	St. Pauli - Augsburg	2:1
01.02.25	St. Pauli - Augsburg	1:1
15.09.24	Augsburg - St. Pauli	3:1

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