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Augsburg - St. Pauli

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 20
  • Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
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    Augsburg St. Pauli
    Augsburg St. Pauli
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.11 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.09 ↓
    (3.39)    		 4.03 ↑
    (3.97)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Augsburg
    45.3%    		Draw
    31%    		St. Pauli
    23.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    48% 28% 23.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    47.9% 28.1% 23.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    80% 13.3% 6.7%

    Augsburg - St. Pauli Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - St. Pauli (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Augsburg (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Augsburg will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% โ€“ 94.05%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Augsburg will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 11 - 91.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyDahmen F. (G)
    34. BrazilArthur Chaves
    31. GermanySchlotterbeck K. (C)
    40. USABanks N.
    19. GermanyFellhauer R.
      4. FranceMassengo H.
      8. KosovoRexhbecaj E.
    27. GermanyWolf M.
    32. SwitzerlandRieder F.
    20. FranceClaude-Maurice A.
    38. AustriaGregoritsch M.
    		22. BosniaVasilj N. (G)
    15. JapanAndo T.
      8. SwedenSmith E. (C)
      3. EstoniaMets K.
      2. GreeceSaliakas M.
      6. USASands J.
    20. NorwayRasmussen M.
    11. PolandPyrka A.
    10. LuxembourgSinani D.
    26. EnglandJones R.J.
    16. JapanFujita J.
    Substitutes
      9. DREssende S.
    11. TunisiaGharbi I.
    30. GermanyKade A.
    14. GermanyKeitel Y.
    36. GermanyKomur M.
    22. CroatiaLabrovic N. (G)
      3. DenmarkPedersen M.
    21. PortugalRibeiro R.
    16. SwitzerlandZesiger C.
    		  9. GambiaCeesay A.
      7. AustraliaIrvine J.
    19. NetherlandsKaars M.
    23. GermanyOppie L.
    28. FrancePereira Lage M.
    21. GermanyRitzka L.
    34. AustriaRobatsch J.
    14. WalesStevens F.
      1. GermanyVoll B. A. (G)
    Coaches
         GermanyBaum M.
    		     GermanyBlessin A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 29', Wolf M. 🟨,
    • 31', Baum M. 🟨,
    • 32', 0 - 1, Sinani D. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 41', 1 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
    • 44', Fellhauer R. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Arthur Chaves ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
    • 59', 2 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
    • 60', Rieder F. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
    • 63', Sinani D. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
    • 63', Jones R.J. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
    • 69', Banks N. 🟨,
    • 71', Fujita J. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,
    • 77', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
    • 77', Wolf M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
    • 84', Saliakas M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
    • 84', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
    • 90+1', Sands J. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • Recent performances by Augsburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • St. Pauli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 0).
  • Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Knee Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
  • There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Calf Injury)
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
  • Including home match between the teams, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    9Augsburg723217:1349

    Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
    Augsburg: 0.29%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Augsburg
    German Bundesliga
    24.01.26 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    18.01.26 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2 ✺
    15.01.26 Augsburg - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺
    11.01.26 Borussia Mรถnchengladbach - Augsburg 4:0 ✺
    20.12.25 Augsburg - Werder Bremen 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39.6
    WTTLT
    - FC St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga
    27.01.26 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1 ✺
    23.01.26 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    17.01.26 Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺
    14.01.26 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    Club Friendly
    04.01.26 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2
    TTLLT
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    14.09.25 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1
    01.02.25 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    15.09.24 Augsburg - St. Pauli 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Augsburg
    German Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Augsburg - Freiburg ✺
    - FC St. Pauli
    German 2 Bundesliga
    01.11.26 St. Pauli - Nรผrnberg ✺

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