Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:00	Disney+


	Avaí		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.00	3.00
	2.4	2.92	3	Watch
	2.53	3	3.32
	2.41	2.97	3.21	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3.25
	2.53	2.88	3.07	Watch
	2.39	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avaí
38.6%

Draw
31.7%

Botafogo SP
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Avaí - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 2. Wallison 3. Allyson 38. Jefferson Maciel 36. Douglas Teixeira 77. Ze Ricardo 8. Luiz Henrique 14. Daniel Penha 10. Jean Lucas (C) 37. Rildo 19. Caio Suassuna	1. Victor Souza (G) 8. Everton Morelli 2. Jonathan 4. Vilar 27. Darlan 6. Patrick Brey (C) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 5. Leandro Maciel 10. Rafael Gava 30. Ze Hugo 9. Hygor
Substitutes
23. Gabriel Cipriano 70. Gaspar 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 9. Leo Gamalho 25. Paulo Vitor 35. Pedrao 66. Quaresma 11. Vizeu F. 56. William	18. Arthur Caike 26. Felipe Vieira 34. Hebert 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 28. Marco Antonio 16. Matheus Sales 31. Pedro Henrique 29. Thiago Moraes 23. Wesley Santos
Coaches
Marquinhos	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Ze Hugo 🟨,
43', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Everton Morelli ⚽, Patrick Brey (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Leandro Maciel ⚽, Patrick Brey (A),
58', Rildo ↓, Gaspar ↑,
58', Caio Suassuna ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
61', Allyson 🟨,
72', Jefferson Maciel ↓, Hyan ↑,
72', Ze Ricardo ↓, Pedrao ↑,
75', Rafael Gava ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
75', Leandro Maciel ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
85', Everton Morelli ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
90', Hygor ↓, Hebert ↑,
90', Ze Hugo ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.

In recent outings, Avaí has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Botafogo SP is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Avaí is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Avaí: Joao Vitor (Yellow Cards) Juan Rocha (Injury) Pedro Cuiaba (Injury) Reynaldo (Injury) Wenderson (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Botafogo SP: Carlao (Knee Injury) Erik Rebello (Injury) Guilherme Mariano (Muscle Injury) Jefferson Nem (Injury) Wallace (Muscle Injury) Wesley Santos (Injury).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Avaí has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:7 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avaí against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Botafogo SP	35	13	8	14	40:38	2	47
17	Avai	35	10	7	18	33:45	-12	37

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo SP - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.26	Avaí - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Cuiabá - Avaí	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Avaí - Londrina	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Avaí - Ceará	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Criciúma - Avaí	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWLL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.26	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
12.10.26	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:0 ✺
07.10.26	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.07.26	Botafogo SP - Avaí	3:1
23.11.25	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:0
28.07.25	Avaí - Botafogo SP	5:0
18.11.24	Botafogo SP - Avaí	1:3
30.07.24	Avaí - Botafogo SP	1:1
07.10.23	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:1
11.06.23	Avaí - Botafogo SP	1:1

Upcoming Matches