Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.17	3.3	3.34	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.27	3.13	3.43	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.74)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)	3.35 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Avellino
42.3%

Draw
29.9%

Carrarese
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

32.4%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

33.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carrarese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	50%	5.6%

Avellino - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 44. Simic L. 63. Fontanarosa A. 2. Missori F. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 39. Besaggio M. 3. Sala M. 7. Tutino G. 14. Biasci T.	99. Fiorillo V. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 4. Illanes J. 17. Zuelli E. 13. Bouah D. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 70. Hasa L. 7. Belloni N. 9. Abiuso F. 21. Rubino T.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 17. Crespi V. 11. D'Andrea L. 56. Enrici P. 99. Favilli A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Lescano F. 78. Milani A. 9. Patierno C. 19. Reale F. 24. Sounas D.	1. Bleve M. (G) 11. Cicconi M. 28. Di Stefano F. 32. Finotto M. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 8. Melegoni F. 77. Parlanti G. 26. Ruggeri F. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E. 20. Troise A. 72. Zanon S.
Coaches
Biancolino R.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Biasci T. ⚽, Tutino G. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Rubino T. ⚽, Abiuso F. (A),
23', Rubino T. 🟨,
33', Bouah D. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tutino G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
48', Oliana F. 🟨,
63', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
63', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
63', Palumbo M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
64', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Abiuso F. ⚽,
72', Palmiero L. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
73', Sounas D. 🟨,
76', Cancellotti T. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
86', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
86', Zuelli E. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Avellino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Avellino: Insigne R. (Calf Injury) Kumi J. (Injury) Rigione M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Imperiale M. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Avellino	6	3	1	2	11:7	4	10
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bari - Avellino	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Avellino - Palermo	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Catanzaro - Avellino	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Avellino - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTLT
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Carrarese - Bari	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Carrarese - Mantova	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Monza - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
14.12.25	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sampdoria - Carrarese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.09.25	Carrarese - Avellino	3:4
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
13.01.13	Avellino - Carrarese	2:1

Upcoming Matches