Match Info

J1 League - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Avispa Fukuoka		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.90	3.10	2.45
	2.98	2.92	2.42	Watch
	3.24	3.25	2.47
	3.02	2.98	2.59	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.4
	3.06	3.16	2.45	Watch
	3	3.05	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.11 ↑ (2.97)	2.44 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
31%

Draw
30.4%

Fagiano Okayama
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

31.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

32.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Obata Y. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 2. Yuzawa M. 55. Maeda K. 34. Shiihashi K. (C) 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 13. Morooka S. 9. Werik Popo	1. Moser L. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. (C) 44. Mori S. 51. Shirai K. 80. Oberdan 33. Kamiya Yuta 88. Yamane T. 20. Kawano K. 10. Na Sang-Ho 9. Leo Gaucho
Substitutes
17. Akino H. 32. Brown A. 47. Hashimoto Y. 25. Kitajima Y. 38. Miya D. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 14. Nago S. 52. Takemoto S. 33. Yamawaki K.	79. Browne N. 8. Esaka A. 55. Fujii Y. 52. Hamada T. (G) 28. Matsumoto M. 41. Miyamoto E. 19. Sato R. 43. Suzuki Y. 7. Takeuchi R.
Coaches
Tsukahara S.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Maejima Y. ⚽, Shiihashi K. (A),
36', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kawano K. ↓, Esaka A. ↑,
46', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
47', Shigemi M. 🟨,
56', Yamane T. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Shirai K. ⚽, Tatsuta Y. (A),
66', Yuzawa M. ↓, Yamawaki K. ↑,
66', Oka T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
66', Shigemi M. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
67', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽,
78', Shirai K. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
81', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sato R. ↑,
82', Kitajima Y. 🟨,
83', Werik Popo ↓, Brown A. ↑,
88', Maejima Y. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
90+1', Browne N. 🟨,
90+4', Brown A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.

Avispa Fukuoka is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Okayama is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury) Kamijima T. (Red Card) Miki T. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Okayama: Lucao (Red Card) Ogura K. (Knee Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Avispa Fukuoka has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avispa Fukuoka against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:7 goals (averaging 1.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLT
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Fagiano Okayama - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.04.26	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0
07.02.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties
15.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
25.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
Japan J2 League
02.12.20	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
25.07.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
21.09.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	1:1

Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide