Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Somerset Park (Ayr)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)


	Ayr United		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	8
	1.27	5.25	8.5
	1.28	5	8
	1.27	5.56	9.14
	1.3	5.55	9.2
	1.28	5.4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	5.29 ↑ (4.53)	8.61 ↑ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayr United
71.9%

Draw
17.4%

Elgin City
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

18.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayr United's performance.

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Ayr United - Elgin City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ayr is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Elgin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elgin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Elgin have a series of home games.

In this match Ayr is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
03.02.23	Queens Park - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
31.01.23	Cove Rangers - Ayr United	0:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
27.01.23	Cove Rangers - Ayr United	0:5 ✺
14.01.23	Ayr United - Arbroath	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Ayr United - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTW
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
04.02.23	Elgin City - Albion Rovers	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
24.01.23	Elgin City - Drumchapel United	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
14.01.23	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Elgin City - East Fife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
09.07.22	Ayr United - Elgin City	1:0 penalties
Scottish Cup
23.03.21	Elgin City - Ayr United	0:4

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