Match Info

LITHUANIA: Lithuanian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday


	Babrungas Plungė		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	10.5	6	1.19
	15	5.5	1.18	Watch
	13.72	6.63	1.18
	13.54	6.62	1.14
	12	6.5	1.12
	12.6	6.35	1.16	Watch
	10	6.6	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.48 ↑ (7.75)	6.31 ↑ (5)	1.16 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
7.3%

Draw
14.4%

Hegelmann Litauen
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

17.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hegelmann Litauen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hegelmann Litauen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kublickas D. (G) 14. Budrys T. (C) 17. Butkus V. 23. Elivelton U. 20. Hess V. 5. Latakas A. 11. Skirmantas M. 18. Sousa A. 9. Tomemori S. 13. Yakudi K. 10. Ze Flores	22. Brazinskas A. (G) 5. Antanavicius D. 66. Armalas V. (C) 24. Buzas T. 4. Douglas Cruz 21. Kausinis E. 25. Keliauskas K. 14. Kingue S. 15. Leo Ribeiro 11. Njoya A. 7. Vareika M.
Substitutes
1. Agalarov A. (G) 3. Barusas A. 4. Butkus D. 15. Jaudzemas M. 32. Kazbaras M. 8. Mantinis K. 19. Mantinis K. 21. Navardauskas E.	8. Bosnjak D. 30. Brisola F. 99. Michael Thuique 3. Odeoyibo S. 13. Olsauskas K. 19. Pasilys D. 10. Popescu P. 1. Urbonas E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Elivelton U. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Hess V. ↓, Mantinis K. ↑,
46', Kausinis E. ↓, Odeoyibo S. ↑,
46', Buzas T. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,
46', Keliauskas K. ↓, Popescu P. ↑,
58', Njoya A. ↓, Michael Thuique ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Armalas V. ⚽,
62', Elivelton U. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Odeoyibo S. ⚽,
66', Douglas Cruz 🟨,
70', Yakudi K. ↓, Barusas A. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Vareika M. ⚽,
76', Vareika M. ↓, Pasilys D. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Sousa A. ⚽,
79', Butkus V. ↓, Kazbaras M. ↑,
82', Kingue S. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+3', Budrys T. ↓, Butkus D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Babrungas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hegelmann is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hegelmann could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hegelmann is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Babrungas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Babrungas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Babrungas Plungė	2:0 ✺
17.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
02.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
26.04.24	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWTT
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.05.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
01.05.24	FA Šiauliai - Hegelmann Litauen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
07.07.20	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen	1:4

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