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Current Win Probability
Bahia 41.4%
Draw 31.6%
Atlético Mineiro 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
32%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
33.1%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
35%
5%
Bahia - Atlético Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 38.5% – 81.5%.
22. Marcos Felipe (G) 2. Gilberto 33. David Duarte 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 19. Caio Alexandre 6. Jean Lucas 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 7. Ademir 12. Willian Jose 16. Erick Pulga
1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 2. Natanael 4. Lyanco 6. Alonso J. 13. Guilherme Arana 25. Gabriel Menino 21. Franco A. 44. Rubens 10. Gustavo Scarpa 92. Dudu 7. Hulk (C)
Substitutes
13. Arias S. 8. Cauly 83. Fred Lippert 3. Gabriel Xavier 37. Kayky 15. Michel Araujo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Rodrigo 17. Rodriguez L. 96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 77. Tiago 66. Ze Guilherme
11. Bernard 38. Caio Paulista 28. Cuello 17. Igor Gomes 16. Igor Rabello 30. Isaac 19. Joao Marcelo 37. Junior Santos 26. Renzo Saravia 31. Robert (G) 23. Roman I. 47. Romulus
Coaches
Mucke R.
Cuca
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Willian Jose 🟨,
15', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
20', Gustavo Scarpa 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cuello ↑,
46', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽,
62', Gabriel Menino ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
62', Dudu ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
81', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
84', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
85', Alonso J. ↓, Isaac ↑,
90', Erick Pulga ↓, Cauly ↑,
90', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
90', Natanael ↓, Bernard ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Hulk ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Michel Araujo ⚽, Cauly (A),
90+9', Michel Araujo 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of home games.
Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bahia: Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Hamstring Injury)
Everson
(Yellow Cards)
Palacios Alzate B.
(Inactive)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Rony
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Bahia: Rezende
(Back Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
Brazil
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Ramos S. 
Alonso J. 
Franco A. 
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Michel Araujo 
Roman I. 
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