Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	8	Watch
	1.35	4.4	9.25
	1.36	3.95	7	Watch
	1.36	3.85	7.8
	1.36	4.81	9.26
	1.44	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.39	4.33	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	4.13 ↑ (3.93)	8.14 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
66.5%

Draw
22.2%

Chertanovo
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

13.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-30.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baltika Kaliningrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chertanovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baltika Kaliningrad - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Baltika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baltika is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Baltika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
09.10.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Orenburg - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
23.09.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTLT
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
09.10.20	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.20	Leningradets - Chertanovo	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Chertanovo - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Shinnik - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.11.19	Chertanovo - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:1
28.07.19	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chertanovo	1:2
18.11.18	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chertanovo	2:0
29.07.18	Chertanovo - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:1

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