What is the expert prediction for Atalanta vs Sturm Graz?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Atalanta vs Sturm Graz. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Atalanta vs Sturm Graz live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Atalanta vs Sturm Graz Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, January 21, 2025)

Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 1, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Cinemax, HBO Max, MAX
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Zoom, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2, Virgin Media More
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app


	Atalanta		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	13
	1.22	6.5	13.5
	1.2	7.3	16	Watch
	1.22	7.06	14.13
	1.22	6.91	14.6	Watch
	1.2	6.5	13
	1.22	7.32	15.5
	1.21	7.2	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.21)	6.97 ↓ (7.16)	14.34 ↑ (13.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atalanta
79.5%

Draw
13.8%

Sturm Graz
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atalanta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.5%	8.5%	0%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 73 - 93.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 88.2% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 2. Toloi R. (C) 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 27. Palestra M. 15. De Roon M. 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 24. Samardzic L. 32. Retegui M. 17. De Ketelaere C.	1. Scherpen K. (G) 23. Malic A. 47. Aiwu E. 5. Wuthrich G. 24. Lavalee D. 21. Chukwuani T. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 8. Yalcouye M. 10. Kiteishvili O. 15. Boving W. 36. Camara A.
Substitutes
16. Bellanova R. 44. Brescianini M. 7. Cuadrado J. 19. Djimsiti B. 13. Ederson 11. Lookman A. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 42. Scalvini G. 48. Vlahovic V.	40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 19. Horvat T. 20. Jatta S. 17. Karic E. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 49. Kiedl P. 32. Schopp K. 14. Zvonarek L.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Retegui M. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
36', Samardzic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Camara A. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
46', Retegui M. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
46', Palestra M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Pasalic M. ⚽, Cuadrado J. (A),
63', 3 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽,
64', Samardzic L. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
64', De Roon M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
70', Yalcouye M. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
70', Boving W. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
71', Kolasinac S. ↓, Djimsiti B. ↑,
78', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
90+1', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 0, Brescianini M. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kern M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

banner

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
18.01.25	Atalanta - Napoli	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Udinese - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Italian Super Cup
02.01.25	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.12.24	Lazio - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLT
- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Rijeka - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
17.01.25	Orijent - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Sturm Graz - Grasshoppers	0:1 ✺
08.01.25	Sturm Graz - Lugano	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Lille - Sturm Graz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Atalanta - Sturm Graz	1:0
26.10.23	Sturm Graz - Atalanta	2:2

Upcoming Matches