Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	DGO
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV2
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, FuboTV
International	00:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.55	3	2.9
	2.6	3.1	2.95
	2.61	3.1	2.91	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.52	3.14	2.83	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.87)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	2.84 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
36.6%

Draw
30.5%

Red Bull Bragantino
33%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

29.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 26. Castillo Segura B. D. 32. Ramirez N. 3. Sosa L. 6. Chala A. 5. Jesus Trindade 22. Souza de Almeida L. 13. Corozo J. 10. Diaz D. (C) 7. Preciado A. 29. Rivero O.	1. Cleiton (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 36. Luan Candido 8. Lucas Evangelista 35. Matheus Fernandes 11. Helinho 7. Eric Ramires 30. Mosquera H. 19. Eduardo Sasha
Substitutes
23. Arroyo D. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 17. Gaibor F. 34. Gomez J. 31. Luque D. 2. Mario Pineida 12. Mendoza V. (G) 30. Oyola B. 14. Rangel A. 16. Reasco D. 25. Solano C. 33. Usma J.	18. Borbas T. 39. Douglas Mendes 22. Gustavinho 34. Hurtado A. 6. Jhon Jhon 29. Juninho Capixaba 33. Laquintana I. 10. Lincoln 40. Lucao (G) 54. Pereira Mendonca V. 23. Raul 28. Vitinho
Coaches
Holan A.	Caixinha P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Castillo Segura B. D. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Helinho ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Corozo J. ⚽, Preciado A. (A),
42', Mosquera H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
55', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Lincoln ↑,
63', Mosquera H. ↓, Juninho Capixaba ↑,
63', Eric Ramires ↓, Raul ↑,
73', Diaz D. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
73', Sosa L. 🟨,
82', Raul 🟨,
83', Corozo J. 🟨,
84', Rivero O. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
84', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
90', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
90', Corozo J. ↓, Rangel A. ↑,
90+5', Helinho ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Barcelona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RB Bragantino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently RB Bragantino have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.24	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Técnico Universitario	3:0 ✺
22.05.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Cumbayá - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
13.07.24	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL

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