Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 18

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Birmingham City		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.25
	1.6	4	5
	1.63	4	5
	1.61	4.09	5.57
	1.6	3.94	5.34	Watch
	1.6	4	5
	1.62	4.1	5.21	Watch
	1.63	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	5.17 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
58.4%

Draw
23.4%

Stockport County
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Stockport County have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Birmingham City - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 6. Bielik K. (C) 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 14. Anderson K. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 20. Cochrane A. 28. Stansfield J. 18. Willumsson W. T. 9. May A.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 16. Connolly C. 3. Touray I. 15. Pye E. 12. Southam-Hales M. 26. Norwood O. 4. Bate L. (C) 23. Rydel R. 14. Collar W. 19. Wootton K. 20. Barry L.
Substitutes
17. Dykes L. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 26. Harris L. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 2. Laird E. 12. Leonard M. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G)	33. Adaramola T. 34. Addai C. (G) 27. Bailey O. 8. Camps C. 7. Diamond J. 5. Hughes S. 9. Olaofe I.
Coaches
Davies C.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, May A. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
35', 2 - 0, May A. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
39', Stansfield J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rydel R. ↓, Olaofe I. ↑,
46', Norwood O. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
46', Bate L. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
48', Pye E. 🟨,
50', Cochrane A. 🟨,
61', May A. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
61', Anderson K. 🟨,
66', Touray I. 🟨,
74', Allsop R. 🟨,
80', Touray I. ↓, Adaramola T. ↑,
83', Anderson K. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
86', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
86', Stansfield J. ↓, Harris L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Birmingham have a series of guest games.

Recently Stockport have a series of home games.

In this match Birmingham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English FA Cup
01.12.24	Blackpool - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Exeter City - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	3:2 ✺
09.11.24	Birmingham City - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.24	Sutton United - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTW
- Stockport County
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Stockport County - Brackley Town	3:1 ✺
English League One
23.11.24	Burton Albion - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
16.11.24	Stockport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	0:2 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

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