Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 25

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.33
	1.9	3.3	4.1
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.94	3.49	4.41
	1.92	3.49	4.41
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.87	3.38	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.78)	3.4 ↓ (3.49)	4.25 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
49.9%

Draw
27.8%

Carlisle United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Wigan Athletic - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 7. Clare S. 4. Morrison L. 6. Hughes C. 5. Sessegnon S. 16. Shaw L. 21. Smith S. 18. Smith J. 10. Aasgaard T. 11. Humphrys S. 28. Magennis J. (C)	13. Breeze G. (G) 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 32. Emmanuel J. 10. McCalmont A. 4. Moxon O. 19. Robinson J. 3. Armer J. 24. Maguire S. 9. Edmondson R.
Substitutes
26. Adeeko B. 12. Amos B. (G) 17. Godo M. 14. Jones J. 20. McManaman C. 2. Watts K. 9. Wyke Ch.	11. Butterworth D. 15. Charters T. 14. Garner J. 7. Gibson J. 1. Holy T. (G) 21. McGeouch D. 17. Whelan C.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Simpson P.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

The competitors look crappy now.

Wigan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
26.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Derby County	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Reading - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Port Vale - Wigan Athletic	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- Carlisle United
English League One
26.12.23	Fleetwood Town - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Carlisle United - Northampton Town	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Blackpool - Carlisle United	3:0 ✺
28.11.23	Reading - Carlisle United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.08.23	Carlisle United - Wigan Athletic	1:1

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