Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Barnsley		Horsham

	1	X	2
	1.08	11	21
	1.1	11.5	21
	1.07	9	29	Watch
	1.08	12.81	21.33
	1.07	12.81	21.33
	1.06	10	23
	1.08	11	24	Watch
	1.09	9.8	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.32)	10.99 ↑ (5.11)	22.71 ↑ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
87.3%

Draw
8.6%

Horsham
4.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.1%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

16.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horsham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Barnsley - Horsham Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Horsham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Killip B. (G) 2. Williams J. (C) 6. Durand de Gevigney M. 26. McCart J. 22. O'Keeffe C. 20. Styles C. 8. Kane H. 29. Dodgson O. 12. Jalo F. 45. McAtee J. 36. Watters M.	1. Carey L. (G) 2. Price B. 5. Strange J. 4. Hester-Cook C. 3. Sparks H. 10. Ajakaiye D. 6. Barker D. R. 18. Brivio J. (C) 14. Fenelon S. 23. Harding L. 20. Hammond J.
Substitutes
10. Benson J. 7. Cadden N. 44. Cole D. 48. Connell L. 17. Cotter B. 50. Flavell K. (G) 21. McCarthy C. 30. Phillips A. 41. Shepherd J.	19. Daniel K. 16. El Abd S. 21. Harris Ch. 8. Kavanagh T. 13. Lelliot A. (G) 17. Meekums R. 11. Richards T. 7. Rodrigues L. 15. Tuck D.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Recently Horsham have a series of guest games.

In this match Barnsley is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
28.10.23	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Exeter City - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Cambridge United - Barnsley	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTWW
- Horsham FC
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Larkhall Athletic - Horsham	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.10.23	Kingstonian - Horsham	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLW

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