The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 30.7%
Draw 31.5%
Millwall 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
29.2%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
21.2%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnsley's form might have worsened.
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millwall's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+23.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millwall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.5%
22.2%
59.3%
Barnsley - Millwall Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Millwall will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 40.8% – 77.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 14).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 21 (6.54%), has project points - 55, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (17%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Millwall has the most likely position - 13 (5.89%), has project points - 61, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Barnsley is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Millwall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Millwall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
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