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Current Win Probability
Stoke City 56.1%
Draw 26.6%
Barnsley 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
27.4%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
21.3%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City's performance.
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76%
11%
13%
Stoke City - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
100 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 76 - 76%). Barnsley will win (votes: 13 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 11%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 67.6% – 84.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 19).
Stoke has the most likely position - 4 (8.21%), has project points - 73, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 13 (5.58%), has project points - 60, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Stoke is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Barnsley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Stoke is a favorite.
Recent matches Barnsley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Last 4 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
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