The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 34.6%
Draw 25.2%
Oxford United 40.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.6%
25.5%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
24.7%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Barnsley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Barnsley - Oxford United Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Oxford Utd (2.38) (votes: 79%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - League Two and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
Barnsley is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Oxford is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barnsley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Barnsley has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Barnsley: Jalo F.
(Inactive)
Smith I.
(Inactive)
Toure B.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Oxford: McDonnell J.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Oxford: Jeon Jin-Woo
(Back Injury)
Roosken R.
(Back Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Oxford in today's match, at odds of 2.41.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Barnsley has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:8 (averaging 2.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barnsley against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2.5:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Oxford Utd
11
6
4
1
19:10
9
22
23
Barnsley
11
2
2
7
11:21
-10
8
Last Results with these Odds
Barnsley - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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