Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Swansea City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.63	4.1	5
	1.6	4.3	5.5
	1.63	3.95	4.9
	1.68	4.2	5.09
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.65	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	4.09 ↑ (3.47)	5.25 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
58.6%

Draw
23.2%

Peterborough United
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

21.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Swansea City - Peterborough United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 20).

Swansea has the most likely position - 14 (6.19%), has project points - 61, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (17.59%), has project points - 45, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Swansea is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
23.10.21	Birmingham City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
17.10.21	Swansea City - Cardiff City	3:0 ✺
02.10.21	Derby County - Swansea City	0:0 ✺
29.09.21	Fulham - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWTL
- Peterborough United
English League Championship
23.10.21	Peterborough United - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Hull City - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Middlesbrough - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
02.10.21	Peterborough United - Bristol City	2:3 ✺
29.09.21	Peterborough United - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.16	Peterborough United - Swansea City	1:3

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