Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Bournemouth		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	13	Watch
	1.22	7	11.5
	1.24	6.5	13	Watch
	1.23	7	10.5
	1.23	6.99	12.72
	1.2	5.5	9.5
	1.23	6.65	11.5	Watch
	1.24	6.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.38)	6.54 ↑ (4.93)	11.59 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
77.3%

Draw
14.5%

Swansea City
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.4%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bournemouth's performance.

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	3.7%	7.4%

Bournemouth - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Travers M. (G) 23. Hill J. 27. Zabarnyi I. 25. Senesi M. 5. Kelly L. 4. Cook L. 10. Christie R. 7. Brooks D. (C) 14. Scott A. 17. Sinisterra L. 9. Solanke D.	1. Fisher A. (G) 30. Ashby H. 23. Wood N. 26. Naughton K. 33. Humphreys B. 8. Grimes M. (C) 7. Allen J. 4. Fulton J. 20. Cullen L. 9. Yates J. 18. Patino C.
Substitutes
3. Kerkez M. 26. Kilkenny G. 19. Kluivert J. 6. Mepham C. 21. Moore K. 20. Radu I. (G) 49. Sadi D. 24. Semenyo A. 16. Tavernier M.	17. Bolasie Y. 31. Cooper O. 6. Darling H. 19. Kukharevych M. 50. Lissah F. 15. Ogbeta N. 12. Paterson J. 3. Pedersen K. 22. Rushworth C. (G)
Coaches
Iraola A.	Williams L.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bournemouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bournemouth is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
21.01.24	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:4 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Queens Park Rangers - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
31.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Bournemouth - Fulham	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
20.01.24	Swansea City - Southampton	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Birmingham City - Swansea City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Swansea City - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
29.12.23	Coventry City - Swansea City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
29.08.23	Swansea City - Bournemouth	2:3
English League Championship
26.04.22	Swansea City - Bournemouth	3:3
06.11.21	Bournemouth - Swansea City	4:0
16.03.21	Bournemouth - Swansea City	3:0
08.12.20	Swansea City - Bournemouth	0:0
English Premier League
05.05.18	Bournemouth - Swansea City	1:0
25.11.17	Swansea City - Bournemouth	0:0

Upcoming Matches