Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Coventry City		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	5.75	Watch
	1.56	4.42	5.38	Watch
	1.57	4.28	5.53	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.55	4.15	5.53	Watch
	1.58	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)	4.18 ↓ (4.41)	5.53 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
60.4%

Draw
22.5%

Swansea City
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	2.9%	2.9%

Coventry City - Swansea City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Coventry (1.90) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Swansea (4.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Coventry City will win (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 26. Woolfenden L. 15. Kitching L. 21. Bidwell J. 29. Torp V. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 9. Simms E.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 35. Ronald 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 33. Brau M. 28. Eccles J. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 41. Perry C. 13. Wilson B. (G) 11. Wright H.	26. Casey K. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 27. Inoussa Z. 2. Key J. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 24. Wales B. 7. Widell M. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Stamenic M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Mason-Clark E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
59', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
63', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
67', Simms E. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
68', Rudoni J. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
75', Franco G. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
75', Ronald ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
76', van Ewijk M. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
80', Cullen L. ↓, Wales B. ↑,
90+2', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Brau M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Coventry is the team to beat.

There will not play in Coventry: Dasilva J. (Red Card) Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Thomas-Asante B. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Benson M. (International duty)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
20.12.25	Southampton - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Coventry City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Ipswich Town - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTLW
- Swansea City
English League Championship
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Stoke City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Swansea City - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Swansea City - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.02.25	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:2
21.09.24	Coventry City - Swansea City	1:2
29.12.23	Coventry City - Swansea City	2:2
19.08.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	1:1
07.04.23	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:0
17.12.22	Coventry City - Swansea City	3:3
05.03.22	Swansea City - Coventry City	3:1

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