Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Barnsley		Watford

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.37
	3.25	3.25	2.3
	3.3	3.15	2.4
	3.1	3.05	2.38
	3.26	3.2	2.45
	3.2	3.1	2.38
	3.14	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	3.17 ↓ (3.19)	2.39 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
29.8%

Draw
30.1%

Watford
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.8%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

23.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barnsley - Watford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs)).

Barnsley has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Watford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Watford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Watford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
27.10.20	Barnsley - Queens Park Rangers	3:0 ✺
24.10.20	Millwall - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Stoke City - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
17.10.20	Barnsley - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
03.10.20	Middlesbrough - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTL
- Watford FC
English League Championship
27.10.20	Wycombe Wanderers - Watford	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Watford - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Watford - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
16.10.20	Derby County - Watford	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Reading - Watford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.03.14	Watford - Barnsley	3:0
21.09.13	Barnsley - Watford	1:5
16.03.13	Barnsley - Watford	1:0
01.12.12	Watford - Barnsley	4:1
04.02.12	Watford - Barnsley	2:1

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