Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Millwall		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.4	4.8
	1.85	3.35	5
	1.77	3.2	5.2
	1.83	3.5	5.09
	1.8	3.3	4.75
	1.82	3.54	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.47)	3.38 ↓ (3.7)	4.92 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
52.6%

Draw
28.1%

Barnsley
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

25.3%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

24.3%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnsley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnsley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Millwall - Barnsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Millwall has the most likely position - 10 (18.59%), has project points - 67, has currently - 58, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Barnsley has the most likely position - 22 (44.44%), has project points - 37, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 38, small importance 21, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Barnsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barnsley have a series of home games.

In this match Millwall is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
05.04.22	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Luton Town - Millwall	2:2 ✺
19.03.22	Stoke City - Millwall	2:0 ✺
16.03.22	Millwall - Huddersfield Town	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Millwall - Middlesbrough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWT
- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
02.04.22	Barnsley - Reading	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Sheffield United - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Barnsley - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Barnsley - Fulham	1:1 ✺
08.03.22	Barnsley - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.10.21	Barnsley - Millwall	0:1
27.02.21	Barnsley - Millwall	2:1
24.10.20	Millwall - Barnsley	1:1
27.06.20	Barnsley - Millwall	0:0
21.12.19	Millwall - Barnsley	1:2
17.03.18	Barnsley - Millwall	0:2
English FA Cup
06.01.18	Millwall - Barnsley	4:1

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