The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnsley 26.9%
Draw 28.7%
Queens Park Rangers 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
27.7%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
21.9%
60.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Queens Park Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barnsley - Queens Park Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs)).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 24 (43.64%), has project points - 33, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
QPR has the most likely position - 3 (16.01%), has project points - 76, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (53%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Barnsley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches QPR is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barnsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
QPR will have a mini benefit in this match.
QPR will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.