Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Barra Santa Catarina		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.25	1.71
	5.4	3.15	1.72	Watch
	5.62	3.25	1.79
	5.4	3.1	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.8
	4.73	3.46	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↓ (6.11)	3.24 ↓ (3.83)	1.75 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barra Santa Catarina
18.1%

Draw
28.8%

Corinthians
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

24%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

22.8%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Barra Santa Catarina - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Barra will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Barra (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ewerton (G) 2. Fabio 3. Jean Pierre (C) 4. Everton Alemao 6. Da Rocha 8. Henrique Freitas 5. Tete 11. Cleo Silva 7. Matheus Barbosa 10. Gabriel Silva 9. Lucas Vargas	51. Kaue (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique (C) 26. Angileri F. 23. Pereira M. 29. Allan 61. Dieguinho 77. Lingard J. 31. Kayke 18. Pedro Raul
Substitutes
12. Fabian Volpi (G) 15. Guilherme Lazaroni 20. Marcelinho 24. Matheuzinho 18. Nicolas 16. Pablo Gabriel 21. Renan Bernabe 19. Saymon 14. Vava Franca 23. Vinicius Popo 13. Vitao 17. Warley Jr	7. Breno Bidon 19. Carrillo A. 40. Felipe Longo (G) 3. Gabriel Paulista 8. Garro R. 37. Kaio Cesar 52. Labyad Z. 21. Matheus Bidu 20. Milans P. 14. Raniele 11. Vitinho 9. Yuri Alberto
Coaches
Franco B.	Diniz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Kayke ↓, Vitinho ↑,
44', Pereira M. 🟨,
45', Lucas Vargas 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Lingard J. ⚽, Pedro Raul (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Henrique Freitas ↓, Pablo Gabriel ↑,
50', Lingard J. 🟨,
61', Andre Ramalho 🟨,
62', Lingard J. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
62', Dieguinho ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
74', Lucas Vargas ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
74', Cleo Silva ↓, Saymon ↑,
77', Matheuzinho ↓, Raniele ↑,
77', Pedro Raul ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
85', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
89', Gabriel Silva ↓, Warley Jr ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Barra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Corinthians has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barra Santa Catarina
Brazilian Serie C
18.04.26	Paysandu - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Maranhão	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Botafogo PB - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Volta Redonda - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Barra Santa Catarina - América Mineiro	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWLWW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Vitória Salvador - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Platense - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWL

Upcoming Matches