The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 43.7%
Draw 28.6%
Oldham Athletic 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29.5%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
27.4%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gillingham that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Gillingham - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 39. Beckles O. 15. Akomeah T. 3. Clark M. 6. Coleman E. 8. Little A. (C) 7. McCleary G. 23. Dack B. 38. Hale R. 19. Vokes S.
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 15. Drummond K. 17. Kavanagh C. 11. Stevens J. 9. Fondop-Talum M.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 36. Antwi C. 30. Gale S. 14. McKenzie R. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 5. Smith A. 25. Turner J. (G)
31. Donaghy T. (G) 14. Garner J. 27. Hammond O. 22. Jalo F. 26. Payne K. 16. Sutton W. 7. Taylor K.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Caprice J. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Monthe M. ⚽, Stevens J. (A),
36', Robson J. 🟨,
45', Kavanagh C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McCleary G. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
48', Akomeah T. 🟨,
50', Akomeah T. ↓, Gale S. ↑,
66', Coleman E. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
66', Vokes S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
66', Little A. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
68', Dack B. 🟨,
70', Stevens J. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
75', Kavanagh C. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
90+3', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
90+3', Drummond K. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Gillingham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Masterson C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Cirino L.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
Watch
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Morris G. (G) 
Beckles O. 
McCleary G. 
Hale R. 
Vokes S. 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Robson J. 
Kavanagh C. 
Jalo F. 
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