The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bartolomé Mitre 65.2%
Draw 23.7%
Sarmiento de Resistencia 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
23.7%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
22.5%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bartolomé Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G)
10. Arraya L.
4. Arregui L.
8. Cerdan R.
5. Comes M. A.
7. Esquivel L.
9. Klusener A.
2. Lukoski K.
3. Medina M.
11. Penaloza J.
6. Rodriguez R.
Substitutes
13. Basualdo L.
17. Benega S.
14. Benitez O.
20. Caceres A.
18. Caceres J.
19. Golomba N.
16. Morales L.
15. Sarza K.
12. Uliambre Ruiz Diaz L. G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Klusener A. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Klusener A. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
Bartolomé Mitre is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sarmiento is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bartolomé Mitre is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bartolomé Mitre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Bartolomé Mitre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.