Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Basel		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	2
	3.3	3.7	1.95
	3.55	3.95	1.95
	3.45	3.75	1.98
	3.63	4.01	1.96
	3.58	4.05	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)	1.98 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
27.2%

Draw
24.6%

Olympique Marseille
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.1%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

17.7%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.3%	10.9%	68.7%

Basel - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 13 - 20.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 44 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 57.4% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

2nd leg.

Basel was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (84%), has a chance of semis (43%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has quality 59, big importance 73, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Basel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marseille is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marseille will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Basel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
13.03.22	Basel - Servette	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Basel	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
06.03.22	Lugano - Basel	0:2 ✺
03.03.22	Basel - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Zürich - Basel	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWTL
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
13.03.22	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Basel	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Monaco	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Basel	2:1

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