Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5	Watch
	1.6	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.6	4.55	5.32
	1.24	5.81	11.73	Watch
				Watch
	1.61	4.7	5.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	4.8 ↑ (4.32)	6.49 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
64.4%

Draw
20.4%

Heidenheim
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoffenheim's performance.

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	6.9%	13.8%

Hoffenheim - Heidenheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Heidenheim (4.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (2.39) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 11. Asllani F. 27. Kramaric A. 29. Toure B. 19. Lemperle T.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 4. Siersleben T. 23. Traore O. H. 30. Dorsch N. 3. Schoppner J. 19. Fohrenbach J. 21. Beck A. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 5. Kabak O. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 6. Promel G. 17. Tohumcu U.	2. Busch M. 17. Honsak M. 27. Keller T. 20. Kerber L. 28. Kolle A. 1. Muller K. (G) 16. Niehues J. 18. Pieringer M. 9. Schimmer S.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Lemperle T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dorsch N. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
46', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
46', Gimber B. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
57', Hajdari A. 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
67', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
67', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
67', Beck A. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽, Fohrenbach J. (A),
76', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
76', Asllani F. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
78', Traore O. H. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
83', Kramaric A. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
89', Schoppner J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.

Hoffenheim has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heidenheim has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hoffenheim is the team to beat.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Muscle Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
19.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
03.10.25	Hoffenheim - Köln	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Freiburg - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
13.09.25	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.03.25	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	1:1
27.10.24	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	0:0
27.01.24	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	1:1
26.08.23	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:3
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	2:0
17.07.21	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	1:0

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