Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Iran	23:30	4 Sport TV
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 6
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 4, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab


	Benfica		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	4
	1.95	3.85	3.8
	1.97	3.81	3.93
	2.09	3.64	3.35	Watch
	1.97	3.99	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)	3.78 ↑ (3.64)	3.8 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
48.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bayer Leverkusen
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	6.8%	6.8%

Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bayer (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (75 of 87 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.96% – 93.46%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 46 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 39 - 84.8%). Bayer (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 8. Aursnes F. 44. Araujo T. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 26. Dahl S. 20. Rios R. 5. Barrenechea E. 11. Lukebakio D. 18. Barreiro L. 10. Sudakov G. 14. Pavlidis V.	1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 13. Arthur 24. Garcia A. 30. Maza I. 20. Grimaldo A. (C) 9. Echeverri C. 19. Poku E. 35. Kofane C. M.
Substitutes
39. Araujo H. 17. Dedic A. 9. Ivanovic F. 3. Obrador R. 25. Prestianni G. 86. Prioste D. 84. Rego J. 21. Schjelderup A. 4. Silva A. 24. Soares S. (G) 68. Veloso J. 66. Wynder J.	44. Belocian J. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 36. Lomb N. (G) 27. Mensah J. 46. Pohl F. 14. Schick P. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Maza I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
57', Kofane C. M. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
57', Echeverri C. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
62', Lukebakio D. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽,
69', Dahl S. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
69', Sudakov G. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
69', Barreiro L. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
78', Otamendi N. 🟨,
79', Tillman M. 🟨,
88', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
90+1', Rios R. 🟨,

Preview

Benfica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Benfica could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Santos L. (Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Andrich R. (Red Card) Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Inactive) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (Inactive) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bayer: Tillman M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
01.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.25	Benfica - Tondela	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.10.25	Benfica - Arouca	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Newcastle United - Benfica	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.25	Chaves - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen	2:4 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain	2:7 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.10.25	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.12.14	Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen	0:0
01.10.14	Bayer Leverkusen - Benfica	3:1
UEFA Europa League
21.02.13	Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen	2:1
14.02.13	Bayer Leverkusen - Benfica	0:1

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