Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Iran	22:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	20:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	01:00	Kazakhstan TV, Qazaqstan TV
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Macao	03:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ 360, Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+


	Bayern Munich		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.93	3.5	3.9
	2	3.55	3.85	Watch
	1.71	3.9	5
	2	3.6	3.97	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.9
	2	3.74	3.96
	2	3.55	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	4.03 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
49.6%

Draw
26.6%

Inter Milan
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

28.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.5%	17.7%	8.8%

Bayern Munich - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 112 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 83 - 74.1%). Inter will win (votes: 10 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 17%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 66% – 82.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Inter (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Inter (1.89) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB, 1st Half - Inter (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Inter (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (23 of 31 users predict this - 74.19%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 23 - 57.5%). Inter (votes: 12 - 30%). Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 27. Laimer K. 15. Dier E. 3. Kim Min-Jae 44. Stanisic J. 6. Kimmich J. (C) 8. Goretzka L. 17. Olise M. 22. Guerreiro R. 10. Sane L. 9. Kane H.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 36. Darmian M. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 30. Carlos Augusto 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.
Substitutes
43. Asp J. 23. Boey S. 7. Gnabry S. 46. Karl L. 48. Klanac L. (G) 41. Kusi Asare J. 25. Muller T. 16. Palhinha J. 18. Peretz D. (G) 24. Vidovic G.	8. Arnautovic M. 52. Berenbruch T. 31. Bisseck Y. 49. De Pieri G. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 32. Dimarco F. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 56. Re Cecconi G. 59. Zalewski N. 54. Zanchetta M.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Kim Min-Jae 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Martinez L. ⚽, Thuram M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Martinez L. 🟨,
71', Mkhitaryan H. 🟨,
74', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
74', Sane L. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
74', Guerreiro R. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
74', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Boey S. ↑,
79', Darmian M. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Muller T. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
88', 1 - 2, Frattesi D. ⚽, Carlos Augusto (A),
89', Frattesi D. 🟨,
89', Martinez L. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
90+4', Zalewski N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Bayern could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bayern is a favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Coman K. (Thigh Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Pavlovic A. (Illness) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Asllani K. (Yellow Cards) Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Dumfries D. (Thigh Injury) Taremi M. (Muscle Injury) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayern won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.8:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bayern won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
04.04.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.03.25	Bayern Munich - Bochum	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWL
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
05.04.25	Parma - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.04.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.03.25	Inter Milan - Udinese	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Atalanta - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.25	Inter Milan - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
01.11.22	Bayern Munich - Inter Milan	2:0
07.09.22	Inter Milan - Bayern Munich	0:2
International Champions Cup
27.07.17	Bayern Munich - Inter Milan	0:2
30.07.16	Inter Milan - Bayern Munich	1:4
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Bayern Munich - Inter Milan	1:0

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