Match Info

DFB Pokal - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bayer Leverkusen		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	5	4.75	1.57	Watch
	4.95	4.95	1.55	Watch
	5.51	4.95	1.57
	5.13	5.06	1.57	Watch
	4.8	4.5	1.5
	5.34	4.82	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.38)	4.84 ↑ (4.54)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
18.7%

Draw
19.8%

Bayern Munich
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

21%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.9%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	8.3%	83.3%

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 23. Tella N. 14. Schick P.	1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 10. Musiala J. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
5. Bade L. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 42. Culbreath M. 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 15. Oermann T. 19. Poku E. 10. Tillman M.	19. Davies A. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 3. Kim Min-Jae 39. Ndiaye B. 34. Ofli D. 40. Urbig J. (G)
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Musiala J. (A),
38', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
39', Lucas ↓, Poku E. ↑,
43', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
74', Laimer K. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
76', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
77', Tella N. ↓, Culbreath M. ↑,
84', Musiala J. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
84', Andrich R. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽, Goretzka L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 0.

Bayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bayer: Arthur (Ankle Injury) Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Bischof T. (Calf Injury) Cardozo M. (Thigh Injury) Gnabry S. (Muscle Injury) Karl L. (Muscle Injury) Kiala C. (Ankle Injury) Mike W. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Ulreich S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.5:2).

Outrights of German DFB Pokal for now

Bayern Munich: 35.18% Bayer Leverkusen: 9.6%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Heidenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Arsenal - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.04.26	Bayern Munich - Real Madrid	4:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.04.26	St. Pauli - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.04.26	Real Madrid - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Freiburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	1:1
01.11.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0
UEFA Champions League
11.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:2
05.03.25	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0
German Bundesliga
15.02.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:0
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1
German Bundesliga
28.09.24	Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1

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