Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bayern Munich		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.13	9.5	17	Watch
	1.11	9.8	22	Watch
	1.17	8.71	10.69
	1.14	10.34	18.05	Watch
	1.13	9	17
	1.15	10.4	20	Watch
	1.12	9.5	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.13)	9.61 ↓ (9.67)	17.53 ↑ (15.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
84.5%

Draw
10%

Wolfsburg
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84%

9.8%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	10.8%	8.1%

Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 29 - 80.6%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 67.7% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 - Bayern (2.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 44. Stanisic J. 20. Bischof T. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 42. Karl L. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.	1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 2. Fischer K. 32. Svanberg M. 27. Arnold M. (C) 24. Eriksen C. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
38. Chavez F. 47. Daiber D. 7. Gnabry S. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 30. Kiala C. 36. Mike W. 40. Urbig J. (G)	41. Burger J. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 37. Hensel P. 40. Paredes K. 12. Pervan P. (G) 3. Vavro D. 5. Vini Souza 25. Zehnter A.
Coaches
Kompany V.	Bauer D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Fischer K. (Own goal),
13', 1 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Majer L. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
45+1', Svanberg M. 🟨,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Olise M. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
53', 4 - 1, Jenz M. (Own goal),
57', Karl L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
58', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
64', Svanberg M. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
64', Wimmer P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
68', 5 - 1, Guerreiro R. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
69', 6 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
76', 7 - 1, Olise M. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
77', Majer L. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
77', Kane H. ↓, Mike W. ↑,
77', Upamecano D. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
83', Olise M. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
86', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Vavro D. ↑,
86', Eriksen C. ↓, Hensel P. ↑,
88', 8 - 1, Goretzka L. ⚽, Tah J. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5.

Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wolfsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Jackson N. (International duty) Kimmich J. (Ankle Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (International duty) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Davies A. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 60:16. (average 3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:5. (average 2.9:0.5).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 80.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	14:2	12	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.12.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Bayern Munich - Mainz	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTWW
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	3:2
25.08.24	Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3
12.05.24	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	2:0
20.12.23	Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich	1:2
05.02.23	Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich	2:4
14.08.22	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	2:0
14.05.22	Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2

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