Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Allianz Arena (Munich)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
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Canada	DAZN Canada
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Colombia	ESPN
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
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Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
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Israel	5 SPORT Israel
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Sport 24


	Bayern Munich		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	1.2	7	12
	1.23	7.1	12
	1.24	7.25	12.5
	1.22	7.54	12.86	Watch
	1.22	6.5	11
	1.22	7.49	13.5
	1.22	6.66	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.28)	7.08 ↑ (6.39)	12.27 ↑ (9.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
78.6%

Draw
13.6%

Sporting Lisbon
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.2%

15.1%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93%	3.5%	3.5%

Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 60%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Bayern (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Bayern (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Half - Bayern (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (53 of 57 users predict this - 92.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.35% – 99.61%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern (votes: 23 - 95.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neuer M. (C) 27. Laimer K. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 44. Stanisic J. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 42. Karl L. 7. Gnabry S. 9. Kane H.	1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 72. Quaresma E. 2. Matheus Reis 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 52. Simoes J. 10. Catamo G. 20. Araujo M. 27. Alisson Santos 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
20. Bischof T. 19. Davies A. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 3. Kim Min-Jae 36. Mike W. 26. Ulreich S. (G) 40. Urbig J. (G)	70. Blopa S. 41. Diego Callai (G) 73. Felicissimo E. 58. Goncalves F. 25. Inacio G. 89. Ioannidis F. 14. Kochorashvili G. 91. Mangas R. 5. Morita H. 28. Ribeiro R. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Kompany V.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Kimmich J. (Own goal), Simoes J. (A),
65', 1 - 1, Gnabry S. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
66', Alisson Santos ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Karl L. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
71', Kimmich J. 🟨,
71', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
76', Karl L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Tah J. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
80', Quaresma E. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
80', Catamo G. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
88', Gnabry S. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
88', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
88', Stanisic J. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
90+1', Araujo M. ↓, Blopa S. ↑,
90+1', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
90+2', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
90+4', Laimer K. 🟨,

Preview

Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sporting is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Diaz L. (Red Card) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Debast Z. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Injury) Quenda G. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Trincao (Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Catamo G. (Injury) Inacio G. (Injury) Vagiannidis G. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
05.12.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Club Brugge	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.11.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWW

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