The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 26.6%
Draw 29.3%
Fiorentina 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
30.1%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
22.4%
57.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.5%
47.7%
31.8%
Benevento - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 14 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 47.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.9% โ 62.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).
Benevento has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fiorentina has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The competitors look crappy now.
Fiorentina will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Watch
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