Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Benfica		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4
	8.25	4.75	1.39
	8.5	5.1	1.41
	7.6	4.8	1.41
	8.54	4.81	1.43
	7.5	4.75	1.4
	7.9	5.15	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.97 ↓ (8.34)	4.87 ↑ (4.83)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
12.1%

Draw
19.7%

Liverpool
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

19.7%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

18.9%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	9.6%	83.7%

Benfica - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (113 of 135 users predict this - 83.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.47% – 89.93%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Benfica was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Liverpool was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (89%), has a chance of final (46%), has a chance of win league (25%).

This event has big quality 83, importance 69, big match rating 76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liverpool is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
01.04.22	Braga - Benfica	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Benfica - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.03.22	Ajax - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.03.22	Benfica - Vizela	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Portimonense - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWTW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
02.04.22	Liverpool - Watford	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
20.03.22	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
16.03.22	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
12.03.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.03.22	Liverpool - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

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