Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 33

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.7
	2.65	3.3	2.65
	2.66	3.25	2.71	Watch
	2.66	3.25	2.74
	2.73	3.31	2.79
	2.5	3.25	2.62
	2.63	3.38	2.64	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.09)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)	2.69 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
35.9%

Draw
28.9%

Sunderland
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

27.3%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	23.1%	38.5%

Birmingham City - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sunderland will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ruddy J. (G) 12. Drameh C. 4. Roberts M. (C) 6. Bielik K. 2. Laird E. 16. Dozzell A. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 19. James J. 8. Roberts T. 11. Miyoshi K. 28. Stansfield J.	1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 13. O'Nien L. (C) 5. Ballard D. 33. Hjelde L. F. 24. Neil D. 11. Burstow M. 39. Ekwah P. 7. Bellingham J. 20. Clarke J. 14. Mundle R.
Substitutes
44. Aiwu E. 14. Anderson K. 7. Bacuna J. 3. Buchanan L. 17. Dembele S. 1. Etheridge N. (G) 20. Gardner G. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 34. Sunjic I.	22. Aouchiche A. 17. Ba A. 30. Bishop N. (G) 48. Kelly C. 6. Pembele T. 31. Rigg C. 15. Rusyn N. 23. Seelt J. 9. Semedo L.
Coaches
Mowbray T.	Beale M.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Birmingham have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Birmingham: Chang A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Muscle Injury) Pritchard A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Leg Injury) Cirkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Dack B. (Hamstring Injury) Embleton E. (Thigh Injury) Evans C. (Knee Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
13.02.24	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Leicester City - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
20.01.24	Stoke City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLW
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
14.02.24	Huddersfield Town - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Middlesbrough - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Sunderland - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
19.01.24	Sunderland - Hull City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
11.11.23	Sunderland - Birmingham City	3:1
15.04.23	Sunderland - Birmingham City	2:1
11.11.22	Birmingham City - Sunderland	1:2
30.01.18	Birmingham City - Sunderland	3:1
23.12.17	Sunderland - Birmingham City	1:1
English League Cup
27.08.14	Birmingham City - Sunderland	0:3

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