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Blackburn Rovers - Burnley

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Match Info

  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26
  • Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Blackburn Rovers Burnley
    Blackburn Rovers Burnley
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.55 ↑
    (2.96)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.24)    		 2.21 ↓
    (2.4)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Blackburn Rovers
    26.7%    		Draw
    30.3%    		Burnley
    42.9%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    31.7% 29.1% 39.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    32% 29.4% 38.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackburn Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    19% 28.6% 52.4%

    Blackburn Rovers - Burnley Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Burnley will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 31% โ€“ 73.8%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. EnglandPears A. (G)
      2. EnglandBrittain C.
      5. ScotlandHyam D.
    15. EnglandBatth D.
    24. WalesBeck O.
      6. NorwayTronstad S. (C)
    42. EnglandBaker L.
    33. EnglandCozier-Duberry A.
      8. EnglandCantwell T.
    10. EnglandDolan T.
      9. SenegalGueye M.
    		  1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    14. WalesRoberts C.
      6. EnglandEgan-Riley C.
      5. FranceEsteve M.
    12. EnglandHumphreys B.
    24. IrelandCullen J.
      8. EnglandBrownhill J. (C)
    11. EnglandAnthony J.
      7. EcuadorSarmiento J.
    29. EnglandLaurent J.
    19. NetherlandsFlemming Z.
    Substitutes
    21. EnglandBuckley J.
    19. WalesHedges R.
    20. EnglandLeonard H.
    40. EnglandLitherland M.
      4. EnglandMcFadzean K.
    41. EnglandO'Grady-Macken H.
    11. EnglandRankin-Costello J.
    12. HungaryToth B. (G)
    14. AustriaWeimann A.
    		35. EnglandBarnes A.
    16. IrelandEgan J.
    17. SouthFoster L.
    32. CzechHladky V. (G)
    30. ItalyKoleosho L.
    23. BrazilLucas Pires
    49. EnglandMcDermott T.
      9. EnglandRodriguez J.
      4. EnglandWorrall J.
    Coaches
         EnglandEustace J.
    		     EnglandParker S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 32', Batth D. 🟨,
    • 40', Laurent J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 54', Hyam D. 🟨,
    • 60', 0 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Humphreys B. (A),
    • 75', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
    • 75', Gueye M. ↓, Leonard H. ↑,
    • 78', Sarmiento J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
    • 82', Baker L. ↓, Buckley J. ↑,
    • 82', Dolan T. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
    • 86', Tronstad S. ↓, Hedges R. ↑,
    • 87', Cullen J. 🟨,
    • 89', Flemming Z. ↓, Egan J. ↑,

    Preview

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 0.
  • Recent matches Blackburn is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Burnley will have a small advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H. (Knee Injury) Ohashi Y. (Leg Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Thigh Injury) Travis L. (Hamstring Injury) Wharton S. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Mejbri H. (Red Card) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)
  • There are questionable in Blackburn: Cantwell T. (Illness)
  • There are questionable in Burnley: Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury)
  • Last 10 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.5:1.4).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.4:1.4).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Blackburn Rovers
    English League Championship
    01.01.25 Leeds United - Blackburn Rovers 1:1 ✺
    29.12.24 Blackburn Rovers - Hull City 0:1 ✺
    26.12.24 Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland 2:2 ✺
    21.12.24 Millwall - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺
    14.12.24 Blackburn Rovers - Luton Town 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5
    TLTLW
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    01.01.25 Burnley - Stoke City 0:0 ✺
    29.12.24 Middlesbrough - Burnley 0:0 ✺
    26.12.24 Sheffield United - Burnley 0:2 ✺
    21.12.24 Burnley - Watford 2:1 ✺
    15.12.24 Norwich City - Burnley 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9
    TTWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Championship
    31.08.24 Burnley - Blackburn Rovers 1:1
    25.04.23 Blackburn Rovers - Burnley 0:1
    13.11.22 Burnley - Blackburn Rovers 3:0
    English League Cup
    23.08.17 Blackburn Rovers - Burnley 0:2
    English League Championship
    05.03.16 Burnley - Blackburn Rovers 1:0
    24.10.15 Blackburn Rovers - Burnley 0:1
    09.03.14 Blackburn Rovers - Burnley 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Blackburn Rovers
    English League Championship
    03.11.26 Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City ✺
    31.10.26 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers ✺
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    03.11.26 Queens Park Rangers - Burnley ✺
    31.10.26 Burnley - Portsmouth ✺

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