Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Blackburn Rovers		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.5
	2.97	3.21	2.47	Watch
	3.01	3.23	2.56
	2.94	3.23	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.5
	2.9	3.32	2.46	Watch
	2.97	3.21	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	2.48 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
32.3%

Draw
29.4%

Sunderland
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	51.9%	22.2%

Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Sunderland will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pears A. (G) 2. Brittain C. 15. Batth D. 5. Hyam D. 24. Beck O. 42. Baker L. 6. Tronstad S. (C) 10. Dolan T. 8. Cantwell T. 19. Hedges R. 23. Ohashi Y.	1. Patterson A. (G) 13. O'Nien L. 26. Mepham C. 32. Hume T. 3. Cirkin D. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 12. Mayenda E. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
21. Buckley J. 33. Cozier-Duberry A. 9. Gueye M. 20. Leonard H. 40. Litherland M. 4. McFadzean K. 11. Rankin-Costello J. 12. Toth B. (G) 14. Weimann A.	30. Aleksic M. 42. Alese A. 22. Aouchiche A. 24. Connolly A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 9. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 36. Poveda I. 15. Rusyn N.
Coaches
Eustace J.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ohashi Y. ⚽, Dolan T. (A),
29', Ohashi Y. 🟨,
33', Hume T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Rigg C. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Isidor W. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
58', Hyam D. 🟨,
60', Ohashi Y. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
61', Hedges R. ↓, Cozier-Duberry A. ↑,
78', Dolan T. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
78', Baker L. ↓, Buckley J. ↑,
83', O'Nien L. 🟨,
86', Rigg C. ↓, Aouchiche A. ↑,
87', Tronstad S. ↓, Leonard H. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Leonard H. ⚽,
90+4', Roberts P. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Blackburn: Gilsenan Z. (Muscle Injury) Wharton S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Browne A. (Broken Leg) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Blackburn: Sigurdsson A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 2.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
21.12.24	Millwall - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Blackburn Rovers - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
10.12.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWWWW
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
21.12.24	Sunderland - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Swansea City - Sunderland	2:3 ✺
10.12.24	Sunderland - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Sunderland - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
29.11.24	Sheffield United - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.04.24	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	1:5
20.09.23	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	1:3
26.12.22	Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers	2:1
18.10.22	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	2:0
English Premier League
20.03.12	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	2:0

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