Match Info

Championship - Round 46

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Blackburn Rovers		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.12	3.68	3.24	Watch
	2.16	3.77	3.3
	2.09	3.65	3.32	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.17	3.72	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)	3.63 ↑ (3.56)	3.21 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
44.5%

Draw
26.1%

Leicester City
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	4.5%	13.6%

Blackburn Rovers - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Leicester will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 70.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 38. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. (C) 20. Cashin E. 2. Alebiosu R. 31. Montgomery K. 28. Forshaw A. 24. Baradji M. 4. Ribeiro Y. 25. Morishita R. 23. Ohashi Y.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 15. Souttar H. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 17. Choudhury H. 8. Winks H. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
21. Afolayan O. 10. Cantwell T. 17. Carter H. 14. De Neve D. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 29. Jorgensen M. 40. Litherland M. 1. Pears A. (G) 16. Wharton S.	56. Aluko O. 9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 62. Gray K. 6. James J. 29. Mukasa D. 22. Skipp O. 39. Thomas S.
Coaches
O'Neill Mi.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Montgomery K. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
46', Ribeiro Y. ↓, Cantwell T. ↑,
54', Pereira R. 🟨,
59', Monga J. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
60', Page L. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
62', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
71', Forshaw A. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
71', Alebiosu R. ↓, Litherland M. ↑,
73', Daka P. ↓, James J. ↑,
73', Pereira R. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
77', Baradji M. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Mavididi S. ⚽,
88', Souttar H. ↓, Gray K. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Leicester is Relegated to League One

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.

Recent performances by Blackburn have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leicester is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leicester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Blackburn could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Blackburn: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Blackburn	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
22.04.26	Sheffield United - Blackburn Rovers	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Blackburn Rovers - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Southampton - Blackburn Rovers	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLTT
- Leicester City
English League Championship
24.04.26	Leicester City - Millwall	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Leicester City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Portsmouth - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Leicester City - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.11.25	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	0:2
04.05.24	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	0:2
01.10.23	Blackburn Rovers - Leicester City	1:4
English FA Cup
28.02.23	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	1:2
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	1:1
English League Championship
22.03.14	Blackburn Rovers - Leicester City	1:1
17.09.13	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	2:1

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