The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester City 50.6%
Draw 25.6%
Swansea City 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
27.8%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
26.6%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leicester City's performance.
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swansea City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swansea City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
26.7%
13.3%
Leicester City - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 24. Lascelles J. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 29. Mukasa D. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 41. Parker S. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 21. Walta L. 18. Gustavo Nunes 6. Stamenic M. 10. Eom J. 7. Widell M. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
56. Aluko O. 18. Aribo J. 9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 17. Choudhury H. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 6. James J. 28. Monga J. 15. Souttar H.
31. Cooper O. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 4. Fulton J. 33. Idah A. 35. Ronald 25. Ward J. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Rowett G.
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Eom J. (A),
56', Parker S. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
56', Walta L. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
59', Thomas L. 🟨,
62', Skipp O. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
62', Mavididi S. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
72', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
72', Eom J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
73', Mukasa D. ↓, James J. ↑,
73', Daka P. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
77', Widell M. ↓, Ronald ↑,
87', Pereira R. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Leicester might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Leicester: Kristiansen V.
(Knee Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Galbraith E.
(Inactive)
Inoussa Z.
(Back Injury)
Key J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Leicester: James J.
(Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Swansea: 7.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Swansea
9
6
2
1
15:7
8
20
Last Results with these Odds
Leicester City - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Swansea City - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.41%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Stolarczyk J. (G) 
Pereira R. (C) 
Lascelles J. 
Vestergaard J. 
Fatawu I. 
Daka P. 
Vigouroux L. (G) 
Parker S. 
Burgess C. 
Walta L. 
Gustavo Nunes 
Stamenic M. 
Eom J. 
Widell M. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Aribo J. 
Begovic A. (G) 
Choudhury H. 
De Cordova-Reid B. 
Fulton J. 
Idah A. 
Yalcouye M. 
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