Match Info

Championship - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Portsmouth		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.42	3.2	3.06	Watch
	2.46	3.29	3.15
	2.4	3.28	3.02	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.9
	2.5	3.13	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.14)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	3 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
39.1%

Draw
29.4%

Leicester City
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portsmouth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Portsmouth - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Leicester will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 50%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 2. Williams J. 7. Pack M. (C) 21. Dozzell A. 27. Alli M. 36. Chaplin C. 37. Anderson K. 9. Bishop C.	31. Begovic A. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 24. Lascelles J. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 17. Choudhury H. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
38. Adams E. 29. Blair H. 17. Bowat I. 40. Brown J. 26. Bursik J. (G) 55. Dia M. 23. Murphy J. 10. Segecic A. 8. Swift J.	56. Aluko O. 18. Aribo J. 9. Ayew J. 6. James J. 28. Monga J. 29. Mukasa D. 22. Skipp O. 15. Souttar H. 1. Stolarczyk J. (G)
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Rowett G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Anderson K. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
17', Devlin T. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Bowat I. ⚽, Segecic A. (A),
70', Choudhury H. 🟨,
70', Choudhury H. ↓, James J. ↑,
71', Mavididi S. ↓, Mukasa D. ↑,
75', Daka P. 🟨,
76', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
77', Segecic A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
77', Chaplin C. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
90', Pack M. 🟨,
90', Ayew J. 🟨,
90+1', Pereira R. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,
90+3', Brown J. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Portsmouth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leicester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portsmouth might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Portsmouth: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
14.04.26	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Middlesbrough - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Portsmouth - Oxford United	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Norwich City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWTTL
- Leicester City
English League Championship
11.04.26	Leicester City - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Leicester City - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Watford - Leicester City	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.10.25	Leicester City - Portsmouth	1:1

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