Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN, FOX Sports 2, TNT Sports
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Action 24
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1x2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Boca Juniors		Lanús

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.60
	1.82	3.15	4.65	Watch
	1.96	3.24	4.77
	1.83	3.43	4.69	Watch
	1.93	3	4.55
	1.93	3.3	4.54	Watch
	1.93	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	4.54 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
50%

Draw
29.2%

Lanús
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

28.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

27.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Boca Juniors - Lanús Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montero A. (G) 24. Gorosito D. 2. Di Lollo L. 42. Herrera F. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 23. Rey Domenech C. 18. Delgado M. 19. Flores L. 16. Miguel Merentiel (C) 20. Velasco A.	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale J. 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 8. Watson F. N. 25. Aquino D. 19. Valois Y.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 30. Belmonte T. 12. Brey L. (G) 8. Carlos Palacios 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 5. Paredes L. 46. Satas M. 13. Valencia E. 22. Villa S. 21. Zenon K.	38. Acosta B. 77. Besozzi L. 35. De Jesus R. 42. Lobos G. 40. Lopez T. 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 27. Sanchez F. 16. Sepulveda M. 20. Wlk A.
Coaches
Arruabarrena R.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Flores L. 🟨,
44', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Valois Y. ↓, Wlk A. ↑,
60', Velasco A. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
61', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
61', Rey Domenech C. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
69', Aquino D. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
69', Salvio E. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
76', Delgado M. 🟨,
79', Flores L. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
79', Delgado M. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
80', Watson F. N. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
90', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Belmonte T. ⚽, Ascacibar S. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.

Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lanús has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.63%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTWT
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.26	Lanús - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
17.08.26	Lanús - Independiente	1:3 ✺
11.08.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Lanús	0:3 ✺
06.08.26	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Lanús - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.03.26	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:3
10.05.25	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 penalties
03.11.24	Lanús - Boca Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.02.24	Lanús - Boca Juniors	2:1
23.09.23	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.06.23	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:1
14.09.22	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:1

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