Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Union Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.45	3.4	3	Watch
	2.42	3.4	3.12
	2.45	3.37	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.44	3.39	3.06	Watch
	2.45	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
40.1%

Draw
28.2%

Union Berlin
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.6%	16.7%	52.8%

Bochum - Union Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 36.5% – 69.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Union Berlin (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 30%). Union Berlin (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 14. Oermann T. 13. Medic J. 5. Bernardo 2. Gamboa C. 19. Bero M. 17. Krauss T. 32. Wittek M. 29. Broschinski M. 33. Hofmann P. (C) 9. Boadu M.	1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 8. Khedira R. 15. Rothe T. 13. Schafer A. 19. Haberer J. 16. Hollerbach B. 23. Ilic A.
Substitutes
10. de Wit D. 27. Drewes P. (G) 21. Holtmann G. 8. Losilla A. 11. Masouras G. 4. Masovic E. 20. Ordets I. 24. Pannewig M. 15. Passlack F.	20. Benes L. 27. Ljubicic M. 41. Ogbemudia O. 45. Preu D. 9. Prtajin I. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 21. Skarke T. 29. Tousart L. 2. Vogt K.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Baumgart S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Hollerbach B. ⚽,
20', Hollerbach B. 🟨,
36', Gamboa C. 🟨,
41', Querfeld L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gamboa C. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
51', Bero M. 🟨,
61', Hofmann P. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
61', Broschinski M. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
64', Leite D. ↓, Vogt K. ↑,
68', Bero M. (Pen),
68', 1 - 1, Bero M. ⚽,
80', Oermann T. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
83', Haberer J. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
84', Hollerbach B. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
90+3', Boadu M. 🟨,
90+5', Schafer A. ↓, Preu D. ↑,
90+6', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3.

Bochum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Union Berlin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Bochum: Miyoshi K. (Thigh Injury) Sissoko I. (Red Card)

There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bochum won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:33 (average 1.4:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
19.04.25	Werder Bremen - Bochum	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bochum - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
28.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
19.04.25	Union Berlin - Stuttgart	4:4 ✺
12.04.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Freiburg - Union Berlin	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.12.24	Union Berlin - Bochum	1:1
05.05.24	Union Berlin - Bochum	3:4
16.12.23	Bochum - Union Berlin	3:0
16.04.23	Union Berlin - Bochum	1:1
23.10.22	Bochum - Union Berlin	2:1
14.05.22	Union Berlin - Bochum	3:2
18.12.21	Bochum - Union Berlin	0:1

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