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Bochum - Union Berlin

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
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    Bochum Union Berlin
    Bochum Union Berlin
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.39 ↓
    (2.44)    		 3.4 ↓
    (3.47)    		 3.03 ↑
    (2.95)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Bochum
    40.1%    		Draw
    28.2%    		Union Berlin
    31.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    39.5% 27.8% 32.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    40.8% 28.8% 30.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    30.6% 16.7% 52.8%

    Bochum - Union Berlin Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 36.5% โ€“ 69.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Union Berlin (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Union Berlin (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 30%). Union Berlin (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyHorn T. (G)
    14. GermanyOermann T.
    13. CroatiaMedic J.
      5. BrazilBernardo
      2. CostaGamboa C.
    19. SlovakiaBero M.
    17. GermanyKrauss T.
    32. GermanyWittek M.
    29. GermanyBroschinski M.
    33. GermanyHofmann P. (C)
      9. NetherlandsBoadu M.
    		  1. DenmarkRonnow F. (G)
      5. NetherlandsDoekhi D.
    14. AustriaQuerfeld L.
      4. PortugalLeite D.
    28. AustriaTrimmel C. (C)
      8. GermanyKhedira R.
    15. GermanyRothe T.
    13. HungarySchafer A.
    19. GermanyHaberer J.
    16. GermanyHollerbach B.
    23. SerbiaIlic A.
    Substitutes
    10. Netherlandsde Wit D.
    27. GermanyDrewes P. (G)
    21. PhilippinesHoltmann G.
      8. FranceLosilla A.
    11. GreeceMasouras G.
      4. SerbiaMasovic E.
    20. UkraineOrdets I.
    24. GermanyPannewig M.
    15. GermanyPasslack F.
    		20. SlovakiaBenes L.
    27. CroatiaLjubicic M.
    41. GermanyOgbemudia O.
    45. GermanyPreu D.
      9. CroatiaPrtajin I.
    37. GermanySchwolow A. (G)
    21. GermanySkarke T.
    29. FranceTousart L.
      2. GermanyVogt K.
    Coaches
         GermanyHecking D.
    		     GermanyBaumgart S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 17', 0 - 1, Hollerbach B. ⚽,
    • 20', Hollerbach B. 🟨,
    • 36', Gamboa C. 🟨,
    • 41', Querfeld L. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 46', Gamboa C. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
    • 51', Bero M. 🟨,
    • 61', Hofmann P. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
    • 61', Broschinski M. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
    • 64', Leite D. ↓, Vogt K. ↑,
    • 68', Bero M. (Pen),
    • 68', 1 - 1, Bero M. ⚽,
    • 80', Oermann T. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
    • 83', Haberer J. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
    • 84', Hollerbach B. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
    • 90+3', Boadu M. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Schafer A. ↓, Preu D. ↑,
    • 90+6', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,

    Preview

  • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3.
  • Bochum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Union Berlin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
  • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
  • There will not play in Bochum: Miyoshi K. (Thigh Injury) Sissoko I. (Red Card)
  • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
  • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bochum won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:33 (average 1.4:1.7).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.4:1.4).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - VfL Bochum
    German Bundesliga
    19.04.25 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺
    12.04.25 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    05.04.25 Bochum - Stuttgart 0:4 ✺
    28.03.25 Bayer Leverkusen - Bochum 3:1 ✺
    Club Friendly
    20.03.25 Bochum - PreuรŸen Mรผnster 4:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5
    LLLLW
    - Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga
    19.04.25 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 4:4 ✺
    12.04.25 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0 ✺
    06.04.25 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    30.03.25 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    15.03.25 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7
    TTWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    14.12.24 Union Berlin - Bochum 1:1
    05.05.24 Union Berlin - Bochum 3:4
    16.12.23 Bochum - Union Berlin 3:0
    16.04.23 Union Berlin - Bochum 1:1
    23.10.22 Bochum - Union Berlin 2:1
    14.05.22 Union Berlin - Bochum 3:2
    18.12.21 Bochum - Union Berlin 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga
    01.11.26 Union Berlin - Kรถln ✺

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