Match Info

COLOMBIA: COPA COLOMBIA - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday


	Bogotá		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.3	3.35	2.9
	2.28	3.15	2.9
	2.32	3.36	3.04
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.32	3.13	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.14)	2.92 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
39.9%

Draw
28.7%

Alianza Valledupar
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bogotá's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	63.6%	18.2%

Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bogotá will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bogotá is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alianza Petrolera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alianza Petrolera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
11.03.23	Bogotá - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Llaneros SA - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
03.03.23	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Patriotas - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLT
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
12.03.23	Alianza Valledupar - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
09.03.23	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Deportivo La Equidad - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
23.02.23	Real Santander - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLL

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